IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
6-3 | Road
65
NOTRE DAME
FIGHTING IRISHND
7-3 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
100%
FIGHTING IRISH
0%
VANDALS
--
FIGHTING IRISH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NOTRE DAME
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Notre Dame)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ND -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ND)
IDHO By 1-7 points
23.0%
IDHO By 8-14 points
12.2%
ND By 1-7 points
26.8%
ND By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho
91
IDAHO
Notre Dame
93
NOTRE DAME
Simulated Score
Idaho
68
IDAHO
Notre Dame
82
NOTRE DAME
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Irish
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Fighting Irish
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Irish (+12)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Fighting Irish (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
IDHO @ ND
65 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.1% more
Notre Dame: 17.0
vs
Idaho: 13.9
Turnovers (L5)
+14.3% more
Notre Dame: 12.3
vs
Idaho: 10.8
Blocks (L5)
+12.5% more
Notre Dame: 1.9
vs
Idaho: 1.7
Steals (L5)
+21.4% more
Idaho: 4.5
vs
Notre Dame: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score
91.0
65
ND Score
93.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 38.3
64.0 / 42.0
Assists
17.0 / 13.9
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.9 / 1.7
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 47.3
52.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
66.2 / 73.9
70.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 34.4
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
3.6 / 4.5
2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 10.8
9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
ND
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
ND
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ND
IDHO
ND
IDHO
ML
65%
20-11
56%
20-16
77%
24-7
64%
21-12
ATS
55%
17-14
58%
21-15
77%
24-7
64%
21-12
TTL
68%
21-10
69%
25-11
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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