Home / NHL Projections NHL / Red Wings @ Flames DET @ CGY

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

16-11-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Wed, Dec 10 • 8:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

12-15-4  |  Home

3
Goaltending
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
@
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
John Gibson None-None 3.00 0.919 --
Devin Cooley None-None 4.13 0.862 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 4.13
0.919 Ldr Save % 0.862
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
RED WINGS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Calgary)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

15.9%

Flames Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

DET By 1 goal

6.6%

DET By 2-3 goals

3.7%

CGY By 1 goal

17.5%

CGY By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2
DETROIT
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
2
DETROIT
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 16, 2026 CGY @ DET 2 - 5
Dec 10, 2025 DET @ CGY 4 - 3
Feb 1, 2025 DET @ CGY 3 - 1
Nov 27, 2024 CGY @ DET 1 - 2
Feb 17, 2024 DET @ CGY 5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +15.5% more
Calgary: 19.9 vs Detroit: 17.2
Faceoff % (L5) +4.0%
Calgary: 55.1% vs Detroit: 51.2%
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.6% more
Detroit: 21.1 vs Calgary: 17.2
Power Play % (L5) +17.5%
Detroit: 37.0% vs Calgary: 19.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 2.0 4
CGY Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.2 / 21.1 5.0 / 26.0
Faceoff % 55.1 / 51.2 47.9 / 52.1
Hits 19.9 / 17.2 15.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 1953.0 / 3704.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.0 / 26.8 37.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 5.3 7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
34%MONEY66%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
DET
CGY
DET
ML
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Two Goals and an…
durangoherald 0 minutes ago
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Points
timesargus 0 minutes ago
Avalanche Crush Winless Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Po…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3
yardbarker 0 minutes ago