MINNESOTA
GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN
5-5 | Road
57
PURDUE
BOILERMAKERSPUR
9-1 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
BOILERMAKERS
0%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
BOILERMAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Purdue)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PUR -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)
MINN By 1-7 points
0.0%
MINN By 8-14 points
0.0%
PUR By 1-7 points
0.0%
PUR By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
35
MINNESOTA
Purdue
107
PURDUE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
68
MINNESOTA
Purdue
82
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Boilermakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim
Boilermakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
MINN @ PUR
57 - 85
Jan 2, 2025
PUR @ MINN
81 - 61
Feb 15, 2024
MINN @ PUR
76 - 84
Jan 19, 2023
PUR @ MINN
61 - 39
Dec 4, 2022
MINN @ PUR
70 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.2% more
Purdue: 19.5
vs
Minnesota: 15.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Purdue: 48.6%
vs
Minnesota: 46.7%
Blocks (L5)
+29.2% more
Minnesota: 4.1
vs
Purdue: 2.9
Turnovers (L5)
+11.9% more
Minnesota: 13.2
vs
Purdue: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MINN Score
35.0
57
PUR Score
107.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 35.3
42.0 / 24.0
Assists
19.5 / 15.7
22.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.9 / 4.1
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 46.7
53.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 68.6
68.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 35.2
46.0 / 23.0
Steals
5.8 / 5.8
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 13.2
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MINN
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
PUR
Advantage
30-9-0
(76.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MINN
Advantage
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
PUR
17-22-0
(43.6%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PUR
MINN
PUR
MINN
ML
67%
26-13
48%
16-17
66%
25-13
71%
22-9
ATS
64%
25-14
55%
18-15
66%
25-13
71%
22-9
TTL
51%
20-19
52%
17-16
100%
38-0
100%
31-0
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