WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
7-2 | Road
60
NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
9-0 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
0%
CORNHUSKERS
100%
BADGERS
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Wisconsin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIS -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)
WIS By 1-7 points
1.1%
WIS By 8-14 points
4.8%
NEB By 1-7 points
0.1%
NEB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wisconsin
94
WISCONSIN
Nebraska
64
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Wisconsin
67
WISCONSIN
Nebraska
70
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Badgers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Badgers (+2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
WIS @ NEB
60 - 90
Jan 26, 2025
NEB @ WIS
55 - 83
Feb 1, 2024
WIS @ NEB
72 - 80
Jan 6, 2024
NEB @ WIS
72 - 88
Feb 11, 2023
WIS @ NEB
63 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.8%
Wisconsin: 82.4%
vs
Nebraska: 72.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.3% more
Wisconsin: 10.8
vs
Nebraska: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIS Score
94.0
60
NEB Score
64.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 35.2
37.0 / 22.0
Assists
15.7 / 15.6
20.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.7
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 44.2
54.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 82.4
87.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 39.8
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.5
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.8
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIS
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
NEB
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
WIS
NEB
WIS
ML
51%
18-17
60%
21-14
62%
21-13
69%
24-11
ATS
54%
19-16
51%
18-17
62%
21-13
69%
24-11
TTL
63%
22-13
57%
20-15
100%
34-0
100%
35-0
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