Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Aggies @ Bison NCAT @ HOW

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

4-4  |  Road

69
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Cameron Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

6-5  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
📊
BISON
100%
AGGIES --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (North Carolina A&T)
AggiesNCAT (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

84.1%

Bison Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NCAT -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCAT)

NCAT By 1-7 points

23.0%

NCAT By 8-14 points

27.2%

HOW By 1-7 points

10.7%

HOW By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
56
HOWARD
Simulated Score
68
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
72
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Aggies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Aggies (+2) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 9, 2025 NCAT @ HOW 69 - 73
Dec 18, 2021 NCAT @ HOW 57 - 79
Mar 11, 2020 HOW @ NCAT 77 - 86
Feb 22, 2020 HOW @ NCAT 67 - 71
Feb 16, 2019 NCAT @ HOW 85 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +13.0% more
North Carolina A&T: 15.7 vs Howard: 13.6
Steals (L5) +74.5% more
Howard: 10.6 vs North Carolina A&T: 6.1
Assists (L5) +64.3% more
Howard: 17.1 vs North Carolina A&T: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Howard: 46.1% vs North Carolina A&T: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCAT Score 66.0 69
HOW Score 56.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 28.6 43.0 / 25.0
Assists 17.1 / 10.4 15.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.8 8.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 43.6 44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 68.2 68.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 37.9 34.0 / 41.0
Steals 10.6 / 6.1 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 15.7 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCAT
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
NCAT
HOW
NCAT
ML
59% 20-14
52% 14-13
71% 22-9
63% 17-10
ATS
59% 20-14
63% 17-10
71% 22-9
64% 18-10
TTL
62% 21-13
69% 18-8-1
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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