LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
4-7 | Road
70
VMI
KEYDETSVMI
5-7 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
0%
KEYDETS
100%
GREYHOUNDS
--
KEYDETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around L-MD -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)
L-MD By 1-7 points
2.2%
L-MD By 8-14 points
8.0%
VMI By 1-7 points
0.3%
VMI By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
78
LOYOLA MARYLAND
VMI
51
VMI
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
68
LOYOLA MARYLAND
VMI
72
VMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Keydets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Keydets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
L-MD @ VMI
70 - 86
Nov 26, 2024
VMI @ L-MD
67 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.3% more
Loyola Maryland: 4.0
vs
VMI: 2.3
Turnovers (L5)
+26.7% more
Loyola Maryland: 15.8
vs
VMI: 11.6
Assists (L5)
+15.4% more
Loyola Maryland: 15.1
vs
VMI: 12.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.2%
Loyola Maryland: 46.9%
vs
VMI: 36.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
78.0
70
VMI Score
51.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.7 / 30.3
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.8 / 15.1
20.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.3 / 4.0
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
36.7 / 46.9
53.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 61.8
69.0 / 52.0
Rebounding
42.5 / 35.5
33.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.9
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 15.8
5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VMI
L-MD
VMI
L-MD
ML
53%
17-15
53%
17-15
84%
27-5
66%
21-11
ATS
50%
16-16
56%
18-14
84%
27-5
66%
21-11
TTL
62%
20-12
44%
14-18
100%
32-0
100%
32-0