Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Big Green @ Rams DART @ CSU

DARTMOUTH

BIG GREENDART

3-4  |  Road

55
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 9:00 PM ET
Moby Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO STATE

RAMSCSU

7-2  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
BIG GREEN --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Colorado State)
Big GreenDART (-3.5) 0 RamsCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Big Green Cover

2.9%

Rams Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)

DART By 1-7 points

2.2%

DART By 8-14 points

0.4%

CSU By 1-7 points

9.3%

CSU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
69
DARTMOUTH
88
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
62
DARTMOUTH
87
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 9, 2025 DART @ CSU 55 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.9% more
Colorado State: 18.1 vs Dartmouth: 13.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.0%
Colorado State: 49.9% vs Dartmouth: 39.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.7%
Colorado State: 54.1% vs Dartmouth: 46.4%
Blocks (L5) +50.6% more
Dartmouth: 4.0 vs Colorado State: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DART Score 69.0 55
CSU Score 88.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 49.9 / 39.9 39.0 / 31.0
Assists 18.1 / 13.5 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.0 / 4.0 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 54.1 / 46.4 61.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 79.4 100.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 30.7 / 37.0 28.0 / 25.0
Steals 4.7 / 5.0 13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 14.4 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0 (40.7%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.5
CSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0 (44.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.5
CSU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.5
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
DART
CSU
DART
ML
56% 19-15
62% 16-10
65% 20-11
50% 13-13
ATS
62% 21-13
65% 17-9
65% 20-11
50% 13-13
TTL
56% 19-15
88% 23-3
100% 31-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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