BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
17-13-0 | Road
5
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
11-12-7 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.00 | 0.923 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 4.14 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.14
0.923 Ldr
Save %
0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
BLUES
0%
BRUINS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
STL By 1 goal
19.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
BOS @ STL
5 - 2
Dec 4, 2025
STL @ BOS
2 - 5
Nov 16, 2024
STL @ BOS
3 - 2
Nov 12, 2024
BOS @ STL
3 - 2
Mar 11, 2024
STL @ BOS
5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.8% more
St. Louis: 16.4
vs
Boston: 14.9
Hits (L5)
+8.9% more
St. Louis: 26.4
vs
Boston: 24.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
St. Louis: 54.4%
vs
Boston: 51.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+32.6% more
Boston: 5.0
vs
St. Louis: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
5
STL Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 14.9
20.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
54.4 / 51.0
57.9 / 42.1
Hits
26.4 / 24.3
30.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
18.2 / 18.2
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.1 / 25.7
26.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 5.0
2.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
BOS
STL
BOS
ML
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2-1
60%
3-2
33%
1-2-1
20%
1-4
Contextual Game News
