Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Hawks COPP @ JOES

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

2-10  |  Road

65
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT JOSEPH'S

HAWKSJOES

5-3  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
HAWKS
0%
EAGLES --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Saint Joseph's)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 HawksJOES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

46.0%

Hawks Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JOES -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JOES)

COPP By 1-7 points

24.3%

COPP By 8-14 points

13.7%

JOES By 1-7 points

26.2%

JOES By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
75
COPPIN STATE
76
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
65
COPPIN STATE
82
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 9, 2025 COPP @ JOES 65 - 87
Nov 26, 2024 COPP @ JOES 54 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +158.8% more
Saint Joseph's: 5.9 vs Coppin State: 2.3
Assists (L5) +42.3% more
Saint Joseph's: 15.9 vs Coppin State: 11.2
Rebounding (L5) +23.4% more
Saint Joseph's: 40.9 vs Coppin State: 33.1
Free Throw % (L5) +13.1%
Saint Joseph's: 80.9% vs Coppin State: 67.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 75.0 65
JOES Score 76.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.5 / 29.7 39.0 / 22.0
Assists 15.9 / 11.2 22.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.9 / 2.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 36.8 49.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 80.9 / 67.8 88.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 40.9 / 33.1 34.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.4 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 14.8 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
JOES Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
JOES Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
COPP
JOES
COPP
ML
51% 18-17
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
79% 19-5
ATS
60% 21-14
68% 21-10
61% 20-13
79% 19-5
TTL
54% 19-16
52% 16-15
100% 33-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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