Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Rams MCN @ URI

MCNEESE

COWBOYSMCN

7-2  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Thomas M. Ryan Center
View Odds Details →

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

7-3  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
COWBOYS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Rhode Island)
CowboysMCN (-3.5) 0 RamsURI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

3.6%

Rams Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

MCN By 1-7 points

2.7%

MCN By 8-14 points

0.5%

URI By 1-7 points

10.7%

URI By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
MCNEESE
85
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
69
MCNEESE
74
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 9, 2025 MCN @ URI 66 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +31.8% more
Rhode Island: 13.0 vs McNeese: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Rhode Island: 35.4% vs McNeese: 33.3%
Assists (L5) +16.1% more
McNeese: 15.0 vs Rhode Island: 12.6
Steals (L5) +16.1% more
McNeese: 10.6 vs Rhode Island: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MCN Score 67.0 66
URI Score 85.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 33.3 28.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.6 / 15.0 8.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 49.9 46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 63.2 / 78.4 85.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 35.6 31.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.9 / 10.6 5.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 9.9 21.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN Advantage
28-6-0 (82.4%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
URI
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN Advantage
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.6
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
MCN
URI
MCN
ML
62% 20-12
67% 22-11
59% 19-13
88% 28-4
ATS
56% 18-14
76% 25-8
59% 19-13
88% 28-4
TTL
56% 18-14
42% 14-19
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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