Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Coyotes @ Cowboys SDAK @ WYO

SOUTH DAKOTA

COYOTESSDAK

5-5  |  Road

79
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 8:30 PM ET
Arena-Auditorium
View Odds Details →

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

7-2  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
COYOTES
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
COYOTES --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Wyoming)
CoyotesSDAK (-3.5) 0 CowboysWYO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coyotes Cover

18.4%

Cowboys Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WYO -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)

SDAK By 1-7 points

12.2%

SDAK By 8-14 points

4.0%

WYO By 1-7 points

24.3%

WYO By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
84
SOUTH DAKOTA
93
WYOMING
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH DAKOTA
72
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 9, 2025 SDAK @ WYO 79 - 106
Dec 10, 2024 WYO @ SDAK 81 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +45.3% more
Wyoming: 13.6 vs South Dakota: 9.3
Blocks (L5) +37.7% more
Wyoming: 2.6 vs South Dakota: 1.9
Steals (L5) +14.5% more
Wyoming: 8.8 vs South Dakota: 7.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.5%
Wyoming: 33.5% vs South Dakota: 25.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SDAK Score 84.0 79
WYO Score 93.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 25.0 47.0 / 42.0
Assists 13.6 / 9.3 21.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.6 / 1.9 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 45.8 63.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 76.3 81.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 36.2 36.0 / 26.0
Steals 8.8 / 7.7 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 14.4 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
WYO Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDAK Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
WYO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.1
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
SDAK
WYO
SDAK
ML
52% 17-16
70% 21-9
70% 23-10
63% 19-11
ATS
64% 21-12
70% 21-9
70% 23-10
63% 19-11
TTL
64% 21-12
67% 20-10
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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