ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

18-10-1  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 7:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

14-7-6  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Ville Husso
GOALTENDER

Ville Husso

#33 | Goaltender
@
Arturs Silovs
GOALTENDER

Arturs Silovs

#37 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ville Husso None-None 2.87 0.936 --
Arturs Silovs None-None 2.78 0.929 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.87 GAA Ldr 2.78
0.936 Ldr Save % 0.929
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
📊
PENGUINS
100%
DUCKS --
PENGUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 PenguinsPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

69.1%

Penguins Cover

30.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

ANA By 1 goal

19.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

PIT By 1 goal

12.1%

PIT By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ANAHEIM
2
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Penguins Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Penguins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 9, 2025 ANA @ PIT 4 - 3
Oct 14, 2025 PIT @ ANA 3 - 4
Jan 23, 2025 PIT @ ANA 1 - 5
Oct 31, 2024 ANA @ PIT 1 - 2
Nov 7, 2023 PIT @ ANA 2 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +25.7% more
Anaheim: 38.7 vs Pittsburgh: 28.7
Hits (L5) +16.5% more
Pittsburgh: 20.7 vs Anaheim: 17.8
Power Play % (L5) +10.5%
Pittsburgh: 26.9% vs Anaheim: 16.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +10.1% more
Pittsburgh: 15.3 vs Anaheim: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 3.0 4
PIT Score 2.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.3 / 13.9 13.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 52.1 / 50.0 49.1 / 50.9
Hits 20.7 / 17.8 11.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 26.9 / 16.4 20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.7 / 38.7 47.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 5.1 9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
74%MONEY26%