NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
16-12-1 | Road
4
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
13-11-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Colton White
#45 | D@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton White | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 4.16 | 0.875 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.16
--
Save %
0.875
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
0%
SENATORS
100%
DEVILS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
OTT @ NJ
3 - 4
Jan 31, 2026
NJ @ OTT
1 - 4
Dec 9, 2025
NJ @ OTT
4 - 3
Sep 28, 2025
NJ @ OTT
0 - 2
Mar 22, 2025
OTT @ NJ
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+38.7% more
Ottawa: 25.4
vs
New Jersey: 18.3
Takeaways (L5)
+26.7% more
Ottawa: 6.2
vs
New Jersey: 4.9
Power Play % (L5)
+14.3%
Ottawa: 22.2%
vs
New Jersey: 7.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
3.0
4
OTT Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.0 / 12.8
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
50.5 / 49.6
53.8 / 46.2
Hits
25.4 / 18.3
22.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
22.2 / 7.9
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.9 / 28.7
38.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 4.9
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
NJ
OTT
NJ
ML
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
0%
0-2-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
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