DALLAS
STARSDAL
20-5-5 | Road
4
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
14-13-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dylan Samberg
#54 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 3.01 | 0.909 | -- |
| Dylan Samberg | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.01
GAA
--
0.909
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
JETS
0%
STARS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
DAL By 1 goal
6.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
WPG By 1 goal
17.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
1
DALLAS
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
5 - 4
May 17, 2025
WPG @ DAL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+85.2% more
Winnipeg: 30.8
vs
Dallas: 16.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+37.9% more
Dallas: 17.6
vs
Winnipeg: 10.9
Takeaways (L5)
+32.2% more
Dallas: 5.6
vs
Winnipeg: 3.8
Power Play % (L5)
+14.9%
Dallas: 18.1%
vs
Winnipeg: 3.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
1.0
4
WPG Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.9 / 17.6
10.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
48.3 / 49.2
38.2 / 61.8
Hits
30.8 / 16.7
32.0 / 8.0
Power Play %
3.2 / 18.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
23.9 / 24.9
33.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 5.6
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
DAL
WPG
DAL
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets
Maple Leafs' Accountability Moment: Hiller Benches Nylander, Ech…