NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
16-7 | Road
117
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
15-10 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
RAPTORS
100%
KNICKS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NY By 8-14 points
27.2%
TOR By 1-7 points
8.0%
TOR By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
112
NEW YORK
Toronto
100
TORONTO
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Toronto
112
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
TOR @ NY
95 - 112
Mar 3, 2026
NY @ TOR
111 - 95
Jan 28, 2026
NY @ TOR
119 - 92
Dec 9, 2025
NY @ TOR
117 - 101
Nov 30, 2025
TOR @ NY
94 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.1% more
New York: 47.0
vs
Toronto: 42.3
Blocks (L5)
+8.9% more
New York: 4.6
vs
Toronto: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.6%
New York: 83.1%
vs
Toronto: 76.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
New York: 48.5%
vs
Toronto: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
112.0
117
TOR Score
100.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 38.1
29.0 / 46.0
Assists
26.2 / 26.9
28.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.2 / 4.6
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 48.5
43.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 83.1
67.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
42.3 / 47.0
37.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.3
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 12.0
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
NY
TOR
NY
ML
55%
57-47
61%
114-72
55%
48-39
56%
57-45
ATS
61%
62-40-2
67%
124-62
55%
48-39
56%
57-45
TTL
60%
62-42
72%
133-53
100%
87-0
100%
102-0
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