SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
BULLDOGSSCST
0-9 | Road
44
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
BUCCANEERSCHSO
6-5 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
BUCCANEERS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (South Carolina State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SCST -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)
SCST By 1-7 points
26.8%
SCST By 8-14 points
24.3%
CHSO By 1-7 points
16.9%
CHSO By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina State
78
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Charleston Southern
72
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
South Carolina State
68
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Charleston Southern
75
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 8, 2025
SCST @ CHSO
44 - 84
Dec 9, 2024
CHSO @ SCST
63 - 82
Dec 2, 2023
SCST @ CHSO
64 - 66
Dec 21, 2021
SCST @ CHSO
75 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+52.1% more
South Carolina State: 7.3
vs
Charleston Southern: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
South Carolina State: 68.9%
vs
Charleston Southern: 66.3%
Assists (L5)
+101.4% more
Charleston Southern: 21.3
vs
South Carolina State: 10.6
Rebounding (L5)
+53.9% more
Charleston Southern: 51.4
vs
South Carolina State: 33.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCST Score
78.0
44
CHSO Score
72.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 31.2
38.0 / 30.0
Assists
21.3 / 10.6
12.0 / 3.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.3
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 38.8
42.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 68.9
80.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
51.4 / 33.4
47.0 / 38.0
Steals
3.5 / 7.3
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 13.7
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
CHSO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
CHSO
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
SCST
CHSO
SCST
ML
43%
13-17
61%
19-12
67%
20-10
74%
20-7
ATS
50%
15-15
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
74%
20-7
TTL
50%
15-15
52%
16-15
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
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