INCARNATE WORD
CARDINALSUIW
5-5 | Road
83
NEW ORLEANS
PRIVATEERSUNO
3-7 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
PRIVATEERS
100%
CARDINALS
--
PRIVATEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
INCARNATE WORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Incarnate Word)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UIW -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIW)
UIW By 1-7 points
0.5%
UIW By 8-14 points
2.7%
UNO By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNO By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Incarnate Word
86
INCARNATE WORD
New Orleans
53
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Incarnate Word
69
INCARNATE WORD
New Orleans
78
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Privateers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Privateers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
UNO @ UIW
78 - 64
Dec 8, 2025
UIW @ UNO
83 - 84
Feb 10, 2025
UNO @ UIW
65 - 75
Jan 27, 2025
UIW @ UNO
74 - 58
Mar 2, 2024
UNO @ UIW
87 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+8.0% more
Incarnate Word: 37.4
vs
New Orleans: 34.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Incarnate Word: 73.6%
vs
New Orleans: 69.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Incarnate Word: 45.7%
vs
New Orleans: 42.0%
Blocks (L5)
+198.6% more
New Orleans: 4.3
vs
Incarnate Word: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIW Score
86.0
83
UNO Score
53.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 30.3
50.0 / 44.0
Assists
14.7 / 11.0
19.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.3 / 1.5
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 45.7
58.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 73.6
81.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 37.4
31.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.7
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 11.5
18.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
UNO
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
UIW
UNO
UIW
ML
52%
16-15
47%
14-16
57%
17-13
76%
22-7
ATS
52%
16-15
53%
16-14
57%
17-13
77%
23-7
TTL
58%
18-13
60%
18-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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