ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
4-4 | Road
58
LIPSCOMB
BISONSLIP
6-4 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
BISONS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
BISONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Lipscomb)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIP -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)
AAMU By 1-7 points
0.1%
AAMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
LIP By 1-7 points
0.6%
LIP By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
59
ALABAMA A&M
Lipscomb
91
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
65
ALABAMA A&M
Lipscomb
78
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bisons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bisons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bisons (-10)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Bisons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
AAMU @ LIP
58 - 92
Nov 30, 2024
LIP @ AAMU
82 - 44
Nov 18, 2023
AAMU @ LIP
81 - 106
Dec 9, 2022
LIP @ AAMU
59 - 63
Dec 30, 2021
AAMU @ LIP
63 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+118.7% more
Lipscomb: 19.6
vs
Alabama A&M: 9.0
Steals (L5)
+43.5% more
Lipscomb: 9.4
vs
Alabama A&M: 6.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Lipscomb: 46.2%
vs
Alabama A&M: 42.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Lipscomb: 38.6%
vs
Alabama A&M: 36.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
59.0
58
LIP Score
91.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 36.1
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
19.6 / 9.0
24.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.9
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 42.1
60.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 71.9
62.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 34.6
33.0 / 35.0
Steals
9.4 / 6.5
5.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 12.8
4.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
LIP
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
LIP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
AAMU
LIP
AAMU
ML
71%
22-9
55%
16-13
66%
19-10
67%
16-8
ATS
71%
22-9
55%
16-13
66%
19-10
67%
16-8
TTL
58%
18-13
66%
19-10
100%
29-0
100%
24-0
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