Home / NBA Projections NBA / Warriors @ Bulls GS @ CHI

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

12-12  |  Road

123
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 7:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

9-13  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
WARRIORS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Chicago)
WarriorsGS (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warriors Cover

0.0%

Bulls Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

GS By 1-7 points

0.0%

GS By 8-14 points

0.0%

CHI By 1-7 points

0.0%

CHI By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
89
GOLDEN STATE
133
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
109
GOLDEN STATE
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+1) Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 CHI @ GS 130 - 124
Dec 7, 2025 GS @ CHI 123 - 91
Feb 8, 2025 GS @ CHI 132 - 111
Jan 23, 2025 CHI @ GS 106 - 131
Mar 7, 2024 CHI @ GS 125 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +21.6% more
Chicago: 17.0 vs Golden State: 14.0
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Chicago: 45.1% vs Golden State: 41.6%
Blocks (L5) +48.0% more
Golden State: 5.1 vs Chicago: 2.6
Assists (L5) +10.9% more
Golden State: 27.0 vs Chicago: 24.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GS Score 89.0 123
CHI Score 133.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 34.4 28.0 / 47.0
Assists 24.1 / 27.0 24.0 / 27.0
Blocks 2.6 / 5.1 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 41.6 36.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 81.4 84.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 44.0 / 44.9 38.0 / 51.0
Steals 8.5 / 8.6 12.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 17.0 / 14.0 15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS Advantage
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
GS
CHI
GS
ML
56% 54-42
55% 95-79
57% 46-35
58% 49-35
ATS
65% 62-33-1
58% 101-73
57% 46-35
58% 49-35
TTL
58% 56-40
77% 134-40
100% 81-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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