Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Delta Devils @ Wildcats MVSU @ KSU

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

1-9  |  Road

49
FINAL
Mon, Dec 8 • 8:00 PM ET
Bramlage Coliseum
View Odds Details →

KANSAS STATE

WILDCATSKSU

6-4  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
KANSAS STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Kansas State)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsKSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

4.5%

Wildcats Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KSU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KSU)

MVSU By 1-7 points

3.3%

MVSU By 8-14 points

0.6%

KSU By 1-7 points

12.2%

KSU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
46
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
63
KANSAS STATE
Simulated Score
52
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
88
KANSAS STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 8, 2025 MVSU @ KSU 49 - 108
Nov 19, 2024 MVSU @ KSU 56 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +22.1% more
Kansas State: 4.2 vs Mississippi Valley State: 3.4
Rebounding (L5) +15.2% more
Kansas State: 37.2 vs Mississippi Valley State: 32.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Kansas State: 29.7% vs Mississippi Valley State: 27.4%
Steals (L5) +19.3% more
Mississippi Valley State: 6.9 vs Kansas State: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 46.0 49
KSU Score 63.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 27.4 53.0 / 22.0
Assists 15.1 / 14.6 30.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.4 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 41.8 58.0 / 26.0
Free Throw % 64.1 / 74.0 81.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 32.3 45.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.9 13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 16.1 14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
KSU Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
KSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
KSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KSU
MVSU
KSU
MVSU
ML
59% 19-13
91% 30-3
69% 22-10
75% 18-6
ATS
62% 20-12
82% 27-6
69% 22-10
75% 18-6
TTL
47% 15-17
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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