ORLANDO
MAGICORL
14-9 | Road
100
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
15-7 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
KNICKS
0%
MAGIC
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
ORL By 1-7 points
2.7%
ORL By 8-14 points
0.5%
NY By 1-7 points
10.7%
NY By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
94
ORLANDO
New York
112
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (-2)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u230.5
Win
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Sim
u230.5
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
NY @ ORL
132 - 120
Dec 7, 2025
ORL @ NY
100 - 106
Nov 22, 2025
NY @ ORL
121 - 133
Nov 12, 2025
ORL @ NY
124 - 107
Jan 6, 2025
ORL @ NY
103 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+11.6% more
New York: 28.4
vs
Orlando: 25.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
New York: 41.6%
vs
Orlando: 32.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
New York: 51.2%
vs
Orlando: 45.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
New York: 82.2%
vs
Orlando: 76.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
94.0
100
NY Score
112.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 32.4
31.0 / 29.0
Assists
28.4 / 25.4
24.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.4 / 4.8
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.2 / 45.2
43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
82.2 / 76.5
85.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
44.5 / 44.6
52.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.9
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 11.9
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
ORL
NY
ORL
ML
61%
114-72
61%
65-42
56%
57-45
56%
51-40
ATS
67%
124-62
64%
68-38-1
56%
57-45
56%
51-40
TTL
72%
133-53
57%
61-46
100%
102-0
100%
91-0
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