Home / NHL Projections NHL / Islanders @ Panthers NYI @ FLA

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

16-10-3  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 5:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

13-12-2  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
ISLANDERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

30.9%

Panthers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

NYI By 1 goal

12.1%

NYI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW YORK
4
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 FLA @ NYI 2 - 5
Mar 1, 2026 FLA @ NYI 4 - 5
Dec 7, 2025 NYI @ FLA 1 - 4
Mar 16, 2025 FLA @ NYI 2 - 4
Feb 2, 2025 NYI @ FLA 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +38.5% more
Florida: 4.5 vs New York: 3.3
Hits (L5) +34.2% more
Florida: 26.4 vs New York: 19.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +17.4% more
Florida: 33.8 vs New York: 28.8
Blocked Shots (L5) +48.4% more
New York: 18.6 vs Florida: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 3.0 1
FLA Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.6 / 18.6 16.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 45.5 / 47.3 51.0 / 49.0
Hits 26.4 / 19.7 18.0 / 23.0
Power Play % 1841.0 / 2156.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 33.8 / 28.8 30.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 4.5 / 3.3 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
34%MONEY66%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
NYI
FLA
NYI
ML
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-4
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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