VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
13-6-8 | Road
3
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
15-12-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | None-None | 1.87 | 0.917 | -- |
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 2.77 | 0.893 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.87 Ldr
GAA
2.77
0.917 Ldr
Save %
0.893
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
RANGERS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
17.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
37.2%
NYR By 1 goal
6.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
New York
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
VGK @ NYR
3 - 2
Nov 18, 2025
NYR @ VGK
2 - 3
Feb 2, 2025
VGK @ NYR
2 - 4
Jan 11, 2025
NYR @ VGK
2 - 1
Jan 26, 2024
VGK @ NYR
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+39.3%
Vegas: 45.7%
vs
New York: 6.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+31.1% more
Vegas: 4.4
vs
New York: 3.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.8% more
Vegas: 17.7
vs
New York: 15.7
Hits (L5)
+52.1% more
New York: 27.7
vs
Vegas: 18.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
3
NYR Score
1.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 17.7
23.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
55.3 / 50.0
46.9 / 53.1
Hits
27.7 / 18.2
33.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
637.0 / 4568.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 27.7
24.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 4.4
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
VGK
NYR
VGK
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
TTL
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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