ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
10-12-7 | Road
4
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
15-9-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 3.00 | 0.885 | -- |
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 4.17 | 0.778 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.17
0.885 Ldr
Save %
0.778
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
CANADIENS
0%
BLUES
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
STL By 1 goal
12.1%
STL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MTL By 1 goal
19.7%
MTL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
MTL @ STL
0 - 2
Dec 7, 2025
STL @ MTL
4 - 3
Mar 25, 2025
MTL @ STL
1 - 6
Oct 26, 2024
STL @ MTL
2 - 5
Feb 11, 2024
STL @ MTL
7 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+67.6% more
Montreal: 4.3
vs
St. Louis: 2.6
Power Play % (L5)
+46.8%
Montreal: 49.1%
vs
St. Louis: 2.3%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.2% more
Montreal: 28.2
vs
St. Louis: 25.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.9%
St. Louis: 52.0%
vs
Montreal: 48.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
2.0
4
MTL Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 15.0
9.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
48.1 / 52.0
40.7 / 59.3
Hits
24.3 / 22.6
14.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
49.1 / 2.3
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 25.6
26.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 2.6
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
STL
MTL
STL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming