AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
BLUE DEVILS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
186.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Northeastern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NE -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)
CCSU By 1-7 points
16.9%
CCSU By 8-14 points
6.8%
NE By 1-7 points
26.8%
NE By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
90
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Northeastern
96
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
69
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Northeastern
74
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 186.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
CCSU @ NE
56 - 73
Nov 16, 2024
CCSU @ NE
62 - 80
Dec 19, 2023
NE @ CCSU
79 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+35.9% more
Northeastern: 15.9
vs
Central Connecticut: 11.7
Steals (L5)
+16.6% more
Northeastern: 8.5
vs
Central Connecticut: 7.3
Blocks (L5)
+22.8% more
Central Connecticut: 5.4
vs
Northeastern: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+17.6% more
Central Connecticut: 17.7
vs
Northeastern: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
90.0
56
NE Score
96.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 43.3
36.0 / 24.0
Assists
14.6 / 17.7
15.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.4
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 51.1
46.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
60.5 / 75.2
86.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 36.9
43.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.5 / 7.3
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 11.7
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
CCSU
NE
CCSU
ML
70%
21-9
57%
17-13
60%
18-12
57%
17-13
ATS
63%
19-11
63%
19-11
60%
18-12
57%
17-13
TTL
53%
16-14
60%
18-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0