Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ospreys @ Bulldogs UNF @ GONZ

NORTH FLORIDA

OSPREYSUNF

2-6  |  Road

58
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 9:00 PM ET
McCarthey Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

GONZAGA

BULLDOGSGONZ

8-1  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
OSPREYS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Gonzaga)
OspreysUNF (-3.5) 0 BulldogsGONZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ospreys Cover

34.5%

Bulldogs Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GONZ -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)

UNF By 1-7 points

20.1%

UNF By 8-14 points

9.3%

GONZ By 1-7 points

27.4%

GONZ By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTH FLORIDA
70
GONZAGA
Simulated Score
61
NORTH FLORIDA
88
GONZAGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 UNF @ GONZ 58 - 109
Nov 7, 2022 UNF @ GONZ 63 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.3% more
Gonzaga: 8.2 vs North Florida: 5.9
Assists (L5) +30.3% more
Gonzaga: 21.1 vs North Florida: 16.2
Rebounding (L5) +27.2% more
Gonzaga: 41.8 vs North Florida: 32.9
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Gonzaga: 50.8% vs North Florida: 47.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNF Score 66.0 58
GONZ Score 70.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 38.3 56.0 / 26.0
Assists 21.1 / 16.2 26.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.4 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.8 / 47.5 61.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 83.1 72.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 41.8 / 32.9 48.0 / 25.0
Steals 8.2 / 5.9 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 12.9 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
GONZ Advantage
31-4-0 (88.6%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
GONZ
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +3.5
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GONZ
UNF
GONZ
UNF
ML
71% 25-10
69% 22-10
69% 20-9
66% 21-11
ATS
69% 24-11
69% 22-10
69% 20-9
66% 21-11
TTL
57% 20-15
66% 21-11
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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