Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Tommies WEB @ STMN

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

4-5  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 1:00 PM ET
Lee & Penny Anderson Arena
View Odds Details →

ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA

TOMMIESSTMN

7-4  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
TOMMIES
0%
WILDCATS --
TOMMIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (St. Thomas-Minnesota)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 TommiesSTMN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

34.5%

Tommies Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STMN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STMN)

WEB By 1-7 points

20.1%

WEB By 8-14 points

9.3%

STMN By 1-7 points

27.4%

STMN By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
WEBER STATE
71
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
68
WEBER STATE
72
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tommies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tommies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tommies (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Tommies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 WEB @ STMN 65 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +15.3% more
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 8.0 vs Weber State: 6.9
Assists (L5) +11.7% more
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 17.8 vs Weber State: 15.9
Blocks (L5) +24.4% more
Weber State: 3.4 vs St. Thomas-Minnesota: 2.6
Rebounding (L5) +13.2% more
Weber State: 38.6 vs St. Thomas-Minnesota: 33.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 67.0 65
STMN Score 71.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.6 / 34.8 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 17.8 / 15.9 19.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.4 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 50.7 57.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 75.4 76.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 38.6 31.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.0 / 6.9 14.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 11.6 10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
STMN Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 10.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
STMN
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
STMN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STMN
WEB
STMN
WEB
ML
64% 21-12
73% 22-8
64% 21-12
73% 22-8
ATS
70% 23-10
63% 19-11
64% 21-12
74% 23-8
TTL
61% 20-13
83% 25-5
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 10 hours, 42 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 10 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 5 hours ago
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
headtopics 4 days, 22 hours ago
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
si 6 days, 5 hours ago