RIDER
BRONCSRID
1-6 | Road
58
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
6-3 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
BRONCS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
RID By 1-7 points
24.3%
RID By 8-14 points
13.7%
QUIN By 1-7 points
26.2%
QUIN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Rider
84
RIDER
Quinnipiac
85
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Rider
74
RIDER
Quinnipiac
78
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
RID @ QUIN
58 - 72
Mar 12, 2025
RID @ QUIN
64 - 78
Jan 25, 2025
RID @ QUIN
64 - 75
Dec 6, 2024
QUIN @ RID
72 - 67
Feb 25, 2024
QUIN @ RID
78 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+83.5% more
Quinnipiac: 16.7
vs
Rider: 9.1
Steals (L5)
+56.6% more
Quinnipiac: 8.9
vs
Rider: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+24.4% more
Quinnipiac: 4.6
vs
Rider: 3.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.4%
Quinnipiac: 42.2%
vs
Rider: 28.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RID Score
84.0
58
QUIN Score
85.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.2 / 28.8
33.0 / 43.0
Assists
16.7 / 9.1
18.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.7
5.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 39.2
43.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 75.1
67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 39.5
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.9 / 5.7
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 15.2
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
QUIN
Advantage
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
RID
QUIN
RID
ML
66%
21-11
72%
21-8
53%
17-15
66%
19-10
ATS
59%
19-13
72%
21-8
53%
17-15
66%
19-10
TTL
62%
20-12
62%
18-11
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
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