Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Raiders GB @ WRST

GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

4-7  |  Road

58
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 5:00 PM ET
Nutter Center
View Odds Details →

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

5-5  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
PHOENIX --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Wright State)
PhoenixGB (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

1.1%

Raiders Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WRST -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

GB By 1-7 points

0.8%

GB By 8-14 points

0.1%

WRST By 1-7 points

4.8%

WRST By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
65
GREEN BAY
88
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
71
GREEN BAY
78
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 1, 2026 WRST @ GB 83 - 75
Dec 7, 2025 GB @ WRST 58 - 86
Feb 16, 2025 WRST @ GB 68 - 79
Jan 2, 2025 GB @ WRST 51 - 74
Jan 18, 2024 GB @ WRST 88 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +122.3% more
Wright State: 5.1 vs Green Bay: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +22.5% more
Wright State: 12.5 vs Green Bay: 10.2
Steals (L5) +14.2% more
Wright State: 7.7 vs Green Bay: 6.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Wright State: 34.0% vs Green Bay: 32.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 65.0 58
WRST Score 88.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 32.0 22.0 / 25.0
Assists 12.7 / 12.4 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.1 / 2.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.4 / 48.8 52.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 61.1 / 74.7 80.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 29.9 / 33.6 33.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.7 / 6.8 14.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 10.2 8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
WRST
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
GB
WRST
GB
ML
37% 13-22
48% 16-17
63% 22-13
67% 22-11
ATS
46% 16-19
52% 17-16
63% 22-13
67% 22-11
TTL
63% 22-13
58% 19-14
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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