AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
0%
CORNHUSKERS
100%
BLUEJAYS
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Creighton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CREI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)
CREI By 1-7 points
27.2%
CREI By 8-14 points
23.0%
NEB By 1-7 points
18.6%
NEB By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Creighton
84
CREIGHTON
Nebraska
79
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Creighton
71
CREIGHTON
Nebraska
78
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bluejays
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bluejays (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
CREI @ NEB
50 - 71
Nov 22, 2024
NEB @ CREI
74 - 63
Dec 3, 2023
CREI @ NEB
89 - 60
Dec 4, 2022
NEB @ CREI
63 - 53
Nov 16, 2021
CREI @ NEB
77 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.3%
Creighton: 83.7%
vs
Nebraska: 76.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Creighton: 37.8%
vs
Nebraska: 32.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Creighton: 49.2%
vs
Nebraska: 45.9%
Steals (L5)
+60.9% more
Nebraska: 7.1
vs
Creighton: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CREI Score
84.0
50
NEB Score
79.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 37.8
37.0 / 24.0
Assists
18.1 / 18.5
11.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 49.2
44.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 83.7
65.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 35.1
39.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.4
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 11.2
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
CREI
NEB
CREI
ML
51%
18-17
52%
17-16
62%
21-13
70%
21-9
ATS
54%
19-16
58%
19-14
62%
21-13
70%
21-9
TTL
63%
22-13
52%
17-16
100%
34-0
100%
30-0