IONA
GAELSIONA
6-3 | Road
81
SACRED HEART
PIONEERSSHU
3-5 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
GAELS
0%
PIONEERS
100%
GAELS
--
PIONEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Iona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IONA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
IONA By 1-7 points
27.4%
IONA By 8-14 points
21.6%
SHU By 1-7 points
20.1%
SHU By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Iona
79
IONA
Sacred Heart
75
SACRED HEART
Simulated Score
Iona
75
IONA
Sacred Heart
68
SACRED HEART
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gaels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gaels (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Gaels (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
SHU @ IONA
91 - 80
Dec 7, 2025
IONA @ SHU
81 - 69
Mar 8, 2025
SHU @ IONA
88 - 90
Dec 6, 2024
IONA @ SHU
59 - 83
Nov 10, 2023
SHU @ IONA
81 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.0% more
Iona: 3.6
vs
Sacred Heart: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+10.9% more
Iona: 36.4
vs
Sacred Heart: 32.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Iona: 44.3%
vs
Sacred Heart: 42.6%
Steals (L5)
+34.3% more
Sacred Heart: 9.0
vs
Iona: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IONA Score
79.0
81
SHU Score
75.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 33.8
37.0 / 32.0
Assists
14.5 / 14.9
17.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.6
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 44.3
41.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
84.4 / 72.5
71.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 36.4
35.0 / 33.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.7
4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 11.4
20.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
SHU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
SHU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHU
IONA
SHU
IONA
ML
61%
20-13
41%
13-19
73%
24-9
62%
20-12
ATS
76%
25-8
53%
17-15
73%
24-9
62%
20-12
TTL
58%
19-14
66%
21-11
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…