WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
4-4 | Road
67
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
SPARTANSUPST
5-5 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
SPARTANS
0%
CATAMOUNTS
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (South Carolina Upstate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UPST -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UPST)
WCU By 1-7 points
4.0%
WCU By 8-14 points
0.8%
UPST By 1-7 points
13.7%
UPST By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Carolina
70
WESTERN CAROLINA
South Carolina Upstate
86
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Simulated Score
Western Carolina
68
WESTERN CAROLINA
South Carolina Upstate
72
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spartans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
WCU @ UPST
67 - 78
Dec 7, 2024
UPST @ WCU
74 - 68
Dec 16, 2023
WCU @ UPST
70 - 53
Dec 3, 2022
UPST @ WCU
79 - 64
Dec 4, 2021
WCU @ UPST
78 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.3% more
South Carolina Upstate: 6.8
vs
Western Carolina: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
South Carolina Upstate: 34.2%
vs
Western Carolina: 29.6%
Assists (L5)
+37.5% more
Western Carolina: 19.7
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 12.3
Steals (L5)
+16.9% more
Western Carolina: 8.1
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WCU Score
70.0
67
UPST Score
86.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 29.6
31.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.3 / 19.7
14.0 / 5.0
Blocks
6.8 / 5.2
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 48.4
45.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
61.2 / 60.8
80.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
40.1 / 45.2
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.8 / 8.1
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 12.9
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
UPST
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
UPST
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UPST
WCU
UPST
WCU
ML
61%
19-12
63%
19-11
83%
25-5
76%
22-7
ATS
61%
19-12
73%
22-8
83%
25-5
77%
23-7
TTL
52%
16-15
67%
20-10
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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