Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Colonels UIW @ NICH

INCARNATE WORD

CARDINALSUIW

5-3  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 4:00 PM ET
David R. Stopher Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

NICHOLLS

COLONELSNICH

0-7  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
COLONELS
0%
CARDINALS --
COLONELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NICHOLLS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Nicholls)
CardinalsUIW (-3.5) 0 ColonelsNICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

42.1%

Colonels Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NICH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NICH)

UIW By 1-7 points

23.0%

UIW By 8-14 points

12.2%

NICH By 1-7 points

26.8%

NICH By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
84
INCARNATE WORD
86
NICHOLLS
Simulated Score
71
INCARNATE WORD
76
NICHOLLS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Colonels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Colonels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Colonels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Colonels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 NICH @ UIW 91 - 83
Dec 6, 2025 UIW @ NICH 67 - 74
Mar 10, 2025 UIW @ NICH 70 - 74
Jan 13, 2025 NICH @ UIW 88 - 82
Feb 26, 2024 UIW @ NICH 82 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +58.2% more
Nicholls: 10.3 vs Incarnate Word: 6.5
Blocks (L5) +29.2% more
Nicholls: 2.2 vs Incarnate Word: 1.7
Rebounding (L5) +19.0% more
Incarnate Word: 36.6 vs Nicholls: 29.7
Free Throw % (L5) +11.4%
Incarnate Word: 73.9% vs Nicholls: 62.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIW Score 84.0 67
NICH Score 86.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 41.9 53.0 / 7.0
Assists 13.6 / 14.0 13.0 / 5.0
Blocks 2.2 / 1.7 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 49.6 44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 62.6 / 73.9 71.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 29.7 / 36.6 27.0 / 39.0
Steals 10.3 / 6.5 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 11.7 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
NICH Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
NICH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.4
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NICH
UIW
NICH
UIW
ML
53% 17-15
47% 14-16
68% 19-9
76% 22-7
ATS
47% 15-17
53% 16-14
68% 19-9
77% 23-7
TTL
56% 18-14
60% 18-12
100% 28-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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