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NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

3-3  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 4:00 PM ET
McDougald-McLendon Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

3-7  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
AGGIES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (North Carolina A&T)
AggiesNCAT (-3.5) 0 EaglesNCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

91.9%

Eagles Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NCAT -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCAT)

NCAT By 1-7 points

16.9%

NCAT By 8-14 points

26.2%

NCCU By 1-7 points

5.8%

NCCU By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
82
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
68
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Simulated Score
67
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
71
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Aggies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Aggies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 NCAT @ NCCU 69 - 54
Dec 28, 2024 NCCU @ NCAT 72 - 85
Dec 12, 2023 NCCU @ NCAT 67 - 62
Feb 27, 2021 NCCU @ NCAT 53 - 55
Feb 24, 2021 NCAT @ NCCU 79 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.1% more
North Carolina A&T: 13.0 vs North Carolina Central: 11.2
Blocks (L5) +67.5% more
North Carolina Central: 4.5 vs North Carolina A&T: 2.7
Assists (L5) +57.7% more
North Carolina Central: 16.0 vs North Carolina A&T: 10.2
Steals (L5) +51.7% more
North Carolina Central: 10.1 vs North Carolina A&T: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCAT Score 82.0 69
NCCU Score 68.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 30.4 11.0 / 25.0
Assists 16.0 / 10.2 8.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.5 / 2.7 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 44.0 27.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.5 / 66.8 73.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 32.3 31.0 / 49.0
Steals 10.1 / 6.6 13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 13.0 11.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
NCCU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
NCCU
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCCU
NCAT
NCCU
NCAT
ML
65% 20-11
52% 14-13
81% 22-5
63% 17-10
ATS
71% 22-9
63% 17-10
81% 22-5
64% 18-10
TTL
55% 17-14
69% 18-8-1
100% 27-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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