VERMONT
CATAMOUNTSUVM
5-5 | Road
65
PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
3-6 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
0%
WAVES
100%
CATAMOUNTS
--
WAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Vermont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVM -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)
UVM By 1-7 points
16.9%
UVM By 8-14 points
26.2%
PEPP By 1-7 points
5.8%
PEPP By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Vermont
68
VERMONT
Pepperdine
54
PEPPERDINE
Simulated Score
Vermont
69
VERMONT
Pepperdine
73
PEPPERDINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Waves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Catamounts (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Waves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
UVM @ PEPP
65 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Vermont: 44.3%
vs
Pepperdine: 40.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Vermont: 31.8%
vs
Pepperdine: 29.7%
Blocks (L5)
+66.5% more
Pepperdine: 3.0
vs
Vermont: 1.8
Turnovers (L5)
+20.5% more
Pepperdine: 12.4
vs
Vermont: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVM Score
68.0
65
PEPP Score
54.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 31.8
26.0 / 34.0
Assists
13.8 / 11.5
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.8
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 44.3
33.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
80.0 / 75.1
85.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 33.0
32.0 / 32.0
Steals
3.6 / 3.8
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 10.3
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
PEPP
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PEPP
UVM
PEPP
UVM
ML
62%
20-12
56%
19-15
69%
22-10
65%
22-12
ATS
56%
18-14
62%
21-13
69%
22-10
65%
22-12
TTL
50%
16-16
47%
16-18
100%
32-0
100%
34-0