UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
3-7 | Road
65
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
9-1 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
0%
LIONS
100%
GREAT DANES
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLU +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
UALB By 1-7 points
21.6%
UALB By 8-14 points
27.4%
COLU By 1-7 points
9.3%
COLU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
82
UALBANY
Columbia
71
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
UAlbany
68
UALBANY
Columbia
73
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Great Danes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
UALB @ COLU
65 - 93
Dec 4, 2024
COLU @ UALB
73 - 88
Nov 11, 2023
UALB @ COLU
78 - 75
Dec 11, 2021
COLU @ UALB
59 - 60
Dec 30, 2019
UALB @ COLU
67 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.1% more
UAlbany: 7.0
vs
Columbia: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+14.2% more
Columbia: 17.5
vs
UAlbany: 15.3
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
Columbia: 44.5
vs
UAlbany: 41.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
Columbia: 70.5%
vs
UAlbany: 62.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
82.0
65
COLU Score
71.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.8 / 33.3
36.0 / 13.0
Assists
17.5 / 15.3
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.5
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 47.1
55.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 62.9
84.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
44.5 / 41.0
46.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.4 / 7.0
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.6
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
UALB
COLU
UALB
ML
44%
12-15
55%
17-14
56%
15-12
71%
22-9
ATS
59%
16-11
77%
24-7
56%
15-12
72%
23-9
TTL
74%
20-7
61%
19-12
100%
27-0
100%
32-0
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