AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
PRIVATEERS
100%
HUSKIES
--
PRIVATEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
113.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HCU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
HCU By 1-7 points
15.3%
HCU By 8-14 points
25.3%
UNO By 1-7 points
4.8%
UNO By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
64
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
New Orleans
49
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
70
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
New Orleans
78
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Privateers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Privateers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
HCU @ UNO
60 - 73
Feb 14, 2026
UNO @ HCU
60 - 61
Dec 6, 2025
HCU @ UNO
85 - 76
Feb 8, 2025
UNO @ HCU
68 - 81
Jan 25, 2025
HCU @ UNO
86 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
Houston Christian: 46.6%
vs
New Orleans: 39.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Houston Christian: 34.2%
vs
New Orleans: 27.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+55.2% more
New Orleans: 15.0
vs
Houston Christian: 9.6
Rebounding (L5)
+19.4% more
New Orleans: 36.1
vs
Houston Christian: 30.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
64.0
85
UNO Score
49.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.5 / 34.2
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.6 / 13.6
19.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.8
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.5 / 46.6
47.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 60.6
65.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 30.3
31.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.4
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 9.6
9.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
UNO
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
HCU
UNO
HCU
ML
52%
16-15
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
81%
25-6
ATS
52%
16-15
58%
18-13
57%
17-13
81%
26-6
TTL
58%
18-13
68%
21-10
100%
30-0
100%
32-0