Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Islanders @ Cardinals AMCC @ LAM

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

3-5  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Montagne Center
View Odds Details →

LAMAR

CARDINALSLAM

5-3  |  Home

49
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
📊
CARDINALS
100%
ISLANDERS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
108.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
IslandersAMCC (-3.5) 0 CardinalsLAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

65.5%

Cardinals Cover

34.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)

AMCC By 1-7 points

27.4%

AMCC By 8-14 points

21.6%

LAM By 1-7 points

20.1%

LAM By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
56
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
52
LAMAR
Simulated Score
72
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
78
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Islanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 108.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 LAM @ AMCC 63 - 76
Dec 6, 2025 AMCC @ LAM 57 - 49
Feb 10, 2025 AMCC @ LAM 56 - 67
Dec 5, 2024 LAM @ AMCC 65 - 61
Feb 24, 2024 AMCC @ LAM 75 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +17.0% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 13.4 vs Lamar: 11.1
Assists (L5) +8.4% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 18.1 vs Lamar: 16.6
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 65.1% vs Lamar: 59.0%
Blocks (L5) +75.9% more
Lamar: 5.5 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score 56.0 57
LAM Score 52.0 49
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 31.1 31.0 / 33.0
Assists 16.6 / 18.1 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.5 / 3.1 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 45.1 37.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 59.0 / 65.1 67.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 38.4 29.0 / 32.0
Steals 9.1 / 7.7 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 13.4 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
LAM
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
LAM
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
AMCC
LAM
AMCC
ML
55% 16-13
70% 21-9
59% 17-12
67% 18-9
ATS
52% 15-14
67% 20-10
60% 18-12
67% 18-9
TTL
72% 21-8
60% 18-12
100% 30-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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