AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
FLAMES
0%
EAGLES
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Liberty)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIB -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
COPP By 1-7 points
13.7%
COPP By 8-14 points
4.8%
LIB By 1-7 points
25.3%
LIB By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Coppin State
59
COPPIN STATE
Liberty
67
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
Coppin State
57
COPPIN STATE
Liberty
79
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
COPP @ LIB
50 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+41.5% more
Liberty: 15.2
vs
Coppin State: 10.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Liberty: 50.3%
vs
Coppin State: 40.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
Liberty: 37.4%
vs
Coppin State: 30.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+39.7% more
Coppin State: 14.8
vs
Liberty: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COPP Score
59.0
50
LIB Score
67.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 30.0
53.0 / 29.0
Assists
15.2 / 10.7
28.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.9
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 40.7
58.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
64.3 / 68.1
57.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
26.5 / 34.2
38.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.8 / 6.6
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 14.8
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
Advantage
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
LIB
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
COPP
LIB
COPP
ML
50%
17-17
65%
20-11
53%
18-16
79%
19-5
ATS
62%
21-13
68%
21-10
53%
18-16
79%
19-5
TTL
41%
14-20
52%
16-15
100%
34-0
100%
24-0