AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
GAMECOCKS
0%
HATTERS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (South Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)
STET By 1-7 points
2.7%
STET By 8-14 points
0.5%
SC By 1-7 points
10.7%
SC By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
94
STETSON
South Carolina
112
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Stetson
61
STETSON
South Carolina
78
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
STET @ SC
51 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+135.8% more
South Carolina: 2.5
vs
Stetson: 1.1
Assists (L5)
+31.9% more
South Carolina: 13.0
vs
Stetson: 9.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.2%
South Carolina: 74.9%
vs
Stetson: 60.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
South Carolina: 44.4%
vs
Stetson: 40.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
94.0
51
SC Score
112.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.4 / 28.5
44.0 / 19.0
Assists
13.0 / 9.9
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.5 / 1.1
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 40.7
55.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 60.7
83.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 30.9
41.0 / 20.0
Steals
5.3 / 6.7
2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
7.8 / 13.5
13.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
SC
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
SC
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
STET
SC
STET
ML
72%
23-9
55%
18-15
68%
21-10
73%
24-9
ATS
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
73%
24-9
TTL
50%
16-16
61%
20-13
100%
31-0
100%
33-0