Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Runnin' Bulldogs GASO @ GWEB

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

6-5  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 2:00 PM ET
Paul Porter Arena
View Odds Details →

GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

0-11  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
EAGLES --
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Georgia Southern)
EaglesGASO (-3.5) 0 Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

91.9%

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GASO -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

GASO By 1-7 points

16.9%

GASO By 8-14 points

26.2%

GWEB By 1-7 points

5.8%

GWEB By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
76
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
62
GARDNER-WEBB
Simulated Score
68
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
72
GARDNER-WEBB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Runnin' Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Runnin' Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 GASO @ GWEB 88 - 84
Dec 17, 2024 GWEB @ GASO 81 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +52.2% more
Georgia Southern: 4.5 vs Gardner-Webb: 2.2
Steals (L5) +32.6% more
Georgia Southern: 7.7 vs Gardner-Webb: 5.2
Assists (L5) +17.4% more
Georgia Southern: 10.6 vs Gardner-Webb: 8.7
Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Georgia Southern: 42.8% vs Gardner-Webb: 38.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GASO Score 76.0 88
GWEB Score 62.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 30.2 44.0 / 38.0
Assists 8.7 / 10.6 11.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.2 / 4.5 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 38.2 / 42.8 50.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 69.9 82.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 35.1 34.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.2 / 7.7 3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 11.2 15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
GWEB Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GWEB
GASO
GWEB
GASO
ML
73% 22-8
56% 20-16
63% 19-11
58% 19-14
ATS
73% 22-8
64% 23-13
63% 19-11
58% 19-14
TTL
53% 16-14
61% 22-14
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago
Houston Cougars' Loss to Texas Tech Exposes Critical Weaknesses …
si 2 weeks, 3 days ago
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
crossingbroad 2 weeks, 4 days ago
Southern Miss Adds Sharpshooter Elliot Tulip to Bolster Perimete…
si 2 weeks, 6 days ago
Bismarck's Eaglestaff Commits to UC San Diego for Extra Collegia…
kfyrtv 1 month, 2 weeks ago