Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sharks @ Mountain Hawks LIU @ LEH

LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

SHARKSLIU

4-4  |  Road

87
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 5:00 PM ET
Stabler Arena
View Odds Details →

LEHIGH

MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH

3-7  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
📊
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
SHARKS --
MOUNTAIN HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Long Island University)
SharksLIU (-3.5) 0 Mountain HawksLEH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

84.1%

Mountain Hawks Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)

LIU By 1-7 points

23.0%

LIU By 8-14 points

27.2%

LEH By 1-7 points

10.7%

LEH By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
66
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
56
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
65
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
78
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sharks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountain Hawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sharks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Mountain Hawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 LIU @ LEH 87 - 82
Dec 21, 2024 LEH @ LIU 60 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +40.6% more
Long Island University: 4.8 vs Lehigh: 2.9
Turnovers (L5) +18.6% more
Long Island University: 14.2 vs Lehigh: 11.6
Steals (L5) +16.8% more
Long Island University: 7.5 vs Lehigh: 6.3
Assists (L5) +9.4% more
Long Island University: 13.2 vs Lehigh: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIU Score 66.0 87
LEH Score 56.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 39.0 29.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.0 / 13.2 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.9 / 4.8 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 49.6 50.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 68.0 74.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 30.9 / 33.2 31.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.3 / 7.5 7.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 14.2 19.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
LEH Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
LEH Advantage
18-14-1 (56.3%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
LIU
LEH
LIU
ML
56% 19-15
60% 21-14
68% 23-11
69% 24-11
ATS
56% 19-15
63% 22-13
68% 23-11
69% 24-11
TTL
76% 26-8
60% 21-14
100% 34-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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