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OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

6-3  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 10:00 PM ET
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ARIZONA STATE

SUN DEVILSASU

7-2  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
📊
SUN DEVILS
100%
SOONERS --
SUN DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Oklahoma)
SoonersOU (-3.5) 0 Sun DevilsASU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sooners Cover

69.1%

Sun Devils Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

OU By 1-7 points

27.2%

OU By 8-14 points

23.0%

ASU By 1-7 points

18.6%

ASU By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
88
OKLAHOMA
83
ARIZONA STATE
Simulated Score
70
OKLAHOMA
74
ARIZONA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sooners Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sun Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sooners (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Sun Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 OU @ ASU 70 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +37.1% more
Oklahoma: 16.3 vs Arizona State: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +30.3% more
Oklahoma: 38.6 vs Arizona State: 26.9
Blocks (L5) +24.5% more
Oklahoma: 3.6 vs Arizona State: 2.7
Steals (L5) +13.5% more
Oklahoma: 6.5 vs Arizona State: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OU Score 88.0 70
ASU Score 83.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 34.2 54.0 / 28.0
Assists 10.3 / 16.3 17.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.6 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 46.1 47.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 72.9 68.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 26.9 / 38.6 40.0 / 38.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.5 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 9.3 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
ASU
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
ASU Advantage
20-12-1 (62.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ASU
OU
ASU
OU
ML
52% 17-16
78% 28-8
68% 21-10
59% 20-14
ATS
52% 17-16
72% 26-10
68% 21-10
59% 20-14
TTL
64% 21-12
75% 27-9
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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