Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Titans @ Rainbow Warriors CSUF @ HAW

CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

3-7  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 11:59 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

8-2  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
TITANS --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Hawai'i)
TitansCSUF (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

0.1%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

CSUF By 1-7 points

0.1%

CSUF By 8-14 points

0.0%

HAW By 1-7 points

0.8%

HAW By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
44
CAL STATE FULLERTON
75
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
69
CAL STATE FULLERTON
74
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors (-14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 CSUF @ HAW 63 - 78
Feb 28, 2026 HAW @ CSUF 87 - 85
Dec 6, 2025 CSUF @ HAW 59 - 69
Feb 1, 2025 CSUF @ HAW 57 - 82
Jan 11, 2025 HAW @ CSUF 95 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.7% more
Hawai'i: 2.9 vs Cal State Fullerton: 1.8
Turnovers (L5) +27.8% more
Hawai'i: 15.0 vs Cal State Fullerton: 11.7
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Hawai'i: 51.5% vs Cal State Fullerton: 46.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Cal State Fullerton: 33.0% vs Hawai'i: 31.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score 44.0 59
HAW Score 75.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 33.0 29.0 / 16.0
Assists 14.4 / 13.9 9.0 / 4.0
Blocks 2.9 / 1.8 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 51.5 / 46.0 38.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 69.5 / 69.5 65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 39.1 / 36.5 50.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.6 2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.0 / 11.7 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
CSUF
HAW
CSUF
ML
61% 20-13
68% 23-11
68% 21-10
76% 26-8
ATS
67% 22-11
68% 23-11
68% 21-10
76% 26-8
TTL
61% 20-13
59% 20-14
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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