UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
14-12-3 | Road
0
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
10-15-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
MacKenzie Weegar
#52 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKenzie Weegar | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
FLAMES
0%
MAMMOTH
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
UTA By 1 goal
12.1%
UTA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
UTA @ CGY
1 - 4
Dec 6, 2025
UTA @ CGY
0 - 2
Oct 15, 2025
CGY @ UTA
1 - 3
Apr 1, 2025
CGY @ UTA
1 - 3
Jan 2, 2025
UTA @ CGY
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.1%
Calgary: 51.9%
vs
Utah: 49.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.1% more
Utah: 19.4
vs
Calgary: 16.5
Power Play % (L5)
+15.0%
Utah: 29.0%
vs
Calgary: 14.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+10.5% more
Utah: 4.2
vs
Calgary: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
2.0
0
CGY Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.5 / 19.4
19.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
51.9 / 49.9
64.9 / 35.1
Hits
22.0 / 23.2
20.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
1395.0 / 2896.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 26.2
23.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 4.2
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
UTA
CGY
UTA
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Rangers' Center Depth in Jeopardy After Veleno's Lower-Body Inju…
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Braden Schneider Eager to Rewrite Rangers Narrative Amid Contrac…
Central Division Arms Race: Can Anyone Crack the NHL's Toughest …