OMAHA
MAVERICKSOMA
3-7 | Road
60
PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
5-2 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
0%
VIKINGS
100%
MAVERICKS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Omaha)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OMA -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)
OMA By 1-7 points
6.8%
OMA By 8-14 points
16.9%
PRST By 1-7 points
1.4%
PRST By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Omaha
77
OMAHA
Portland State
56
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
Omaha
73
OMAHA
Portland State
78
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
OMA @ PRST
60 - 55
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Omaha: 38.4%
vs
Portland State: 32.5%
Steals (L5)
+56.6% more
Portland State: 8.2
vs
Omaha: 5.2
Blocks (L5)
+23.4% more
Portland State: 4.2
vs
Omaha: 3.4
Rebounding (L5)
+18.4% more
Portland State: 41.3
vs
Omaha: 34.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OMA Score
77.0
60
PRST Score
56.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 38.4
20.0 / 30.0
Assists
15.7 / 13.7
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.4
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 46.7
40.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 70.9
53.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 34.9
29.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.2
4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 12.1
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OMA
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OMA
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
OMA
PRST
OMA
ML
65%
20-11
79%
26-7
71%
22-9
67%
22-11
ATS
71%
22-9
76%
25-8
71%
22-9
67%
22-11
TTL
47%
14-16-1
73%
24-9
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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