NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
3-20 | Road
101
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
5-17 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
NETS
0%
PELICANS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
NO By 1-7 points
24.3%
NO By 8-14 points
13.7%
BKN By 1-7 points
26.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
125
NEW ORLEANS
Brooklyn
126
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
New Orleans
112
NEW ORLEANS
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+4)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
BKN @ NO
113 - 116
Dec 6, 2025
NO @ BKN
101 - 119
Apr 8, 2025
NO @ BKN
114 - 119
Nov 11, 2024
BKN @ NO
107 - 105
Mar 19, 2024
NO @ BKN
104 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+137.6% more
Brooklyn: 5.8
vs
New Orleans: 2.5
Turnovers (L5)
+39.2% more
Brooklyn: 17.3
vs
New Orleans: 12.4
Steals (L5)
+9.3% more
New Orleans: 8.4
vs
Brooklyn: 7.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.8%
New Orleans: 83.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 76.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NO Score
125.0
101
BKN Score
126.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 38.7
40.0 / 36.0
Assists
25.7 / 25.9
36.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.8 / 2.5
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 47.9
53.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 83.5
79.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 43.4
45.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.7 / 8.4
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
17.3 / 12.4
20.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
Advantage
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
NO
BKN
NO
ML
53%
50-45
62%
98-61
59%
48-34
58%
48-35
ATS
52%
48-44-3
68%
107-51-1
59%
48-34
58%
48-35
TTL
57%
54-41
75%
119-40
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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