LA
CLIPPERSLAC
6-17 | Road
106
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
14-8 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
CLIPPERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
20.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.2%
MIN By 1-7 points
8.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
110
LA
Minnesota
98
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
MIN @ LAC
128 - 153
Feb 26, 2026
MIN @ LAC
94 - 88
Feb 8, 2026
LAC @ MIN
115 - 96
Dec 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 109
Jan 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+37.9% more
LA: 9.8
vs
Minnesota: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
LA: 84.6%
vs
Minnesota: 82.6%
Blocks (L5)
+108.7% more
Minnesota: 5.5
vs
LA: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+22.1% more
Minnesota: 29.4
vs
LA: 24.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
110.0
106
MIN Score
98.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 31.8
44.0 / 31.0
Assists
29.4 / 24.0
23.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.5 / 2.7
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 45.9
50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 84.6
88.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 43.2
35.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.1 / 9.8
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 14.9
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAC
MIN
LAC
ML
54%
63-53
60%
59-40
54%
50-43
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
67-49
66%
65-33-1
54%
50-43
55%
45-37
TTL
63%
72-43-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
93-0
100%
82-0
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