HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
4-6 | Road
70
FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
6-4 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
RAMS
0%
CRUSADERS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
HC By 1-7 points
3.3%
HC By 8-14 points
0.6%
FOR By 1-7 points
12.2%
FOR By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Fordham
85
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
65
HOLY CROSS
Fordham
72
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
HC @ FOR
70 - 69
Nov 21, 2022
HC @ FOR
53 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.4% more
Fordham: 3.5
vs
Holy Cross: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+26.5% more
Fordham: 16.1
vs
Holy Cross: 12.7
Steals (L5)
+28.2% more
Holy Cross: 8.3
vs
Fordham: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Holy Cross: 34.4%
vs
Fordham: 32.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
68.0
70
FOR Score
85.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 34.4
36.0 / 41.0
Assists
16.1 / 12.7
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.5 / 2.6
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 48.0
48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 70.2
68.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 35.1
31.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.0 / 8.3
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 12.2
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
FOR
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
HC
FOR
HC
ML
59%
19-13
52%
16-15
59%
19-13
61%
19-12
ATS
59%
19-13
55%
17-14
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
TTL
59%
19-13
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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