Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Black Bears @ RedHawks ME @ M-OH

MAINE

BLACK BEARSME

0-10  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 1:00 PM ET
Millett Hall
View Odds Details →

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

7-0  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
📊
REDHAWKS
0%
BLACK BEARS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Miami (OH))
Black BearsME (-3.5) 0 RedHawksM-OH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Black Bears Cover

34.5%

RedHawks Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around M-OH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)

ME By 1-7 points

20.1%

ME By 8-14 points

9.3%

M-OH By 1-7 points

27.4%

M-OH By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
68
MAINE
72
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
65
MAINE
72
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI RedHawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim RedHawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI RedHawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim RedHawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 ME @ M-OH 61 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +85.1% more
Miami (OH): 16.8 vs Maine: 9.1
Rebounding (L5) +48.3% more
Miami (OH): 41.5 vs Maine: 28.0
Free Throw % (L5) +15.1%
Miami (OH): 73.3% vs Maine: 58.2%
Steals (L5) +14.0% more
Miami (OH): 8.9 vs Maine: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ME Score 68.0 61
M-OH Score 72.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 31.8 44.0 / 39.0
Assists 16.8 / 9.1 22.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.7 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 51.8 / 44.7 51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 58.2 85.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 41.5 / 28.0 43.0 / 24.0
Steals 8.9 / 7.8 12.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 14.5 15.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -2.8
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
ME
M-OH
ME
ML
45% 15-18
45% 14-17
41% 13-19
52% 16-15
ATS
61% 20-13
55% 17-14
41% 13-19
52% 16-15
TTL
61% 20-13
55% 17-14
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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